Why listen to scientific experts when a property developer named Trump has all the answers?
It’s amazing that the ability to build skyscrapers gives Donald Trump major credibility regarding climate change.
Well, that is exactly what he thinks!
President Donald Trump announced Thursday that the United States will withdraw from the Paris climate accord. In doing so, he has made the worst-case impacts of climate change on America vastly more likely.
In a speech from the White House Rose Garden filled with thorny lies and misleading statements, one pricks the most: Trump claimed that the Paris climate deal would only reduce future warming in 2100 by a mere 0.2°C. White House talking points further assert that “according to researchers at MIT, if all member nations met their obligations, the impact on the climate would be negligible… less than .2 degrees Celsius in 2100.”
The Director of MIT’s System Dynamics Group, John Sterman, and his partner at Climate Interactive, Andrew Jones, quickly emailed ThinkProgress to explain, “We are not these researchers and this is not our finding.”
They point out that “our business as usual, reference scenario leads to expected warming by 2100 of 4.2°C. Full implementation of current Paris pledges plus all announced mid-century strategies would reduce expected warming by 2100 to 3.3°C, a difference of 0.9°C [1.6°F].”
The 0.2°C estimate used by Trump may be from another MIT group; the Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change did have such an estimate in early 2015 before all of the Paris pledges were in. But, their post-Paris 2016 analysis also concluded the impact of the full pledges was closer to 1°C.
In their analysis, Sterman and Jones “take all nations at their word that they will fully meet their national commitments. If nations increase their ambition and set future pledges, as is outlined in the agreement, then the positive impact would be even larger.”
This point is key. The Paris commitments not only help the globe avoid the worst-case scenario for total warming and related climate impacts, they keep the best-case scenario open. Indeed, the Paris pledges buy us another decade close to the 2°C (3.6°F) path.
Keeping the option of beating the 2°C target — which is widely seen by scientists as the point at which climate impacts start to become dangerously unmanageable by humans — is a key objective of the Paris deal.
Trump does not listen to, or even know any real scientific experts.
America has been made to look so foolish now, and is unfortunately not a major leader in the world. It will stay that way until Trump is driven from office.
Unless something is done about him, China, Russia, Germany will take over the reins.
They are already way ahead of us on the Climate Change issue…as evidenced this week.