The voting results in the 2016 election did not make mathematical and statistical sense. It was possible for Trump to have won the election, but it seemed impossible for Trump to have won the election in the exact way that he won it. One thing that stood out were Trump’s margins of victory in each of the four swing states which decided the election. We finally have real world insight that comes from the U.S. Senate Intelligence Committee about why the margin is so mathematically suspect.
Donald Trump not only pulled off upset wins in Wisconsin, Florida, Michigan, and Pennsylvania, but he won each of them by almost exactly one percent. Natural statistical results would be more like, for example Trump winning a swing state by one percent, another by 2.3 percent, another by 0.6 percent. If an NFL team won four upset victories consecutively, and each had a 35-31 score, you would scratch your head in confusion, because numbers don’t really work that way, and exceptions to this are incredible rare. So why would we believe Trump really won all four swing states by the exact same margin? We know no that it’s because the margin was the lowest it could go.
The Senate Intel Committee put out a bipartisan report a few days ago confirming that Russian hackers actually penetrated voter registration data for crucial swing states, and they were able to alter or even delete voter registration data. It wasn’t hackers breaking in for the election night and literally rewriting the vote counts. Instead, the hackers got in beforehand and they sabotaged the registration data of just enough of the targeted voters and kept them from voting successfully when they arrived.
The Russian hackers didn’t know what the vote counts were going to exactly be when they got in and started disqualifying voters in advance. They had access to all the internal polling which the corrupt Republican National Committee had done for the Trump campaign. These internal polls come from far more detailed information about voters, and are far more precise than any publicly available polling. Even knowing that information, the hackers would still have needed to allow themselves a margin of error, in case the polls weren’t completely accurate.
The Russian hackers could not just delete enough voter registrations and make Trump win by, let’s say 2,000 votes in each swing state. They didn’t know exactly what the vote counts would be, so they weren’t allowed to cut it too close. That explains why none of the four swing state victories were decided by amounts like 0.1% or 0.6% of the vote, like you might see in a natural distribution for four close wins. The bottom line is this: the Russians ensured that Donald Trump “won” all those states by a minimum of one percent, just in case the polling information they had was slightly off. We’re not just imagining this: the vote totals for the 2016 presidential election were rigged.